"More of my friends talk about wanting to move to Dubai than serve their own country.
"Consistently, the elite class has stripped away all of the guardrails and sources of meaning that young people like me used to cling to —our national identity, our national culture, our strong families, our local identities. All of it is steadily being whittled away to make room for an incredibly hollow, vague, and meaningless celebration of universal ‘diversity’, a notion of diversity that celebrates any and every group in society except the one group that will soon be relied upon to defend and save our country from external threats —straight, white, working-class men.
"Liberal Boomers might be shocked to discover that so few Zoomer men, like me, are willing to fight and die for our country. But I am not. While the radical progressive elites who dominate the institutions tell themselves they are creating a society that is diverse, equitable, and inclusive, in reality they have created a society that is, as JD Vance said, falling apart from within —a society that is bitterly divided, filled with hate, riddled with a corrosive identity politics and two-tier justice, and rigged in favour of every and any minority group at the expense of young people like me from the British majority. So, no, Keir Starmer, if you ask me I won’t be heading off to fight and potentially die for Britain. Why should I? What, exactly, would I be fighting for?"
Zoomer Anon
“I write books to educate myself"
Paul Johnson (1928–2023), the British historian and author, wrote more than 50 books over his lifetime.
https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.297297/gov.uscourts.dcd.297297.1.0.pdf
Mishandling national defense information. Very serious.
There are three ways the outlook could play out.
1. The polls and analysts are largely accurate.
a. House: 233 D - 202 R; Senate: 52 D - 48 R
b. Recent polling errors have been greater in the presidential elections while midterms - on the whole - have been more accurate (Silver Bulletin). If largely accurate, Democrats would win a majority of similar size to the 2018 and 2006 midterms and gain a narrow Senate majority.
2. The polls and analysts underestimate Republicans by a normal polling error.
a. House: 221 D - 214 R; Senate: 51 R - 49 D
b. Some of the biggest polling errors this century occurred in reliably red states and districts that underestimate Republican support (The Economist). Given where the competitive races are located this year, another underestimation would be enough to keep Republicans in control of the Senate and to have Democratic House margins in the single digits.
3. The polls and analysts underestimate Democrats by a normal polling error.
a. House: 238 D - 197 R;...