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El Salvador used to be one of the most dangerous countries in the world. Beginning in March 2022, President Bukele began the crackdown on gang crime, imprisoning 70,000 people. CECOT houses 40,000 of the worst criminals in stark conditions and there are 80 men to a cell. Many have tattoos with the motto “Laugh Now, Pay Later.” The men, mostly in their 20s, will never see sunlight or their families again.
The journalist was allowed a short interview with an inmate, Psycho.
President Trump recently met with President Bukele and proposed paying El Salvador to house violent, habitual criminals, both foreign migrants and also Americans, in the Central American country. It is far less expensive to imprison criminals in El Salvador than America.
“I write books to educate myself"
Paul Johnson (1928–2023), the British historian and author, wrote more than 50 books over his lifetime.
https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.297297/gov.uscourts.dcd.297297.1.0.pdf
Mishandling national defense information. Very serious.
There are three ways the outlook could play out.
1. The polls and analysts are largely accurate.
a. House: 233 D - 202 R; Senate: 52 D - 48 R
b. Recent polling errors have been greater in the presidential elections while midterms - on the whole - have been more accurate (Silver Bulletin). If largely accurate, Democrats would win a majority of similar size to the 2018 and 2006 midterms and gain a narrow Senate majority.
2. The polls and analysts underestimate Republicans by a normal polling error.
a. House: 221 D - 214 R; Senate: 51 R - 49 D
b. Some of the biggest polling errors this century occurred in reliably red states and districts that underestimate Republican support (The Economist). Given where the competitive races are located this year, another underestimation would be enough to keep Republicans in control of the Senate and to have Democratic House margins in the single digits.
3. The polls and analysts underestimate Democrats by a normal polling error.
a. House: 238 D - 197 R;...
