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Constitutionally, Congress controls tariffs. Congress chose to transfer that power to the President in dozens of statutes over the centuries. The Trade Expansion Act empowers Trump to use tariffs whenever needed for national security. The International Emergency Economic Powers Act empowers Trump to use tariffs in any emergency. The Trade Act empowers Trump to use tariffs to protect US industry and offset injurious foreign trade practices.
Trump’s tariff policy is both Constitutionally rooted and Congressionally approved, with a sound basis in national security and productive economy, reflecting a broader view of the purpose of the economy to make Americans more secure in all respects from foreign threats. As such, it conforms directly to the beliefs and intent of the founding generation.
Robert Barnes
“I write books to educate myself"
Paul Johnson (1928–2023), the British historian and author, wrote more than 50 books over his lifetime.
https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.297297/gov.uscourts.dcd.297297.1.0.pdf
Mishandling national defense information. Very serious.
There are three ways the outlook could play out.
1. The polls and analysts are largely accurate.
a. House: 233 D - 202 R; Senate: 52 D - 48 R
b. Recent polling errors have been greater in the presidential elections while midterms - on the whole - have been more accurate (Silver Bulletin). If largely accurate, Democrats would win a majority of similar size to the 2018 and 2006 midterms and gain a narrow Senate majority.
2. The polls and analysts underestimate Republicans by a normal polling error.
a. House: 221 D - 214 R; Senate: 51 R - 49 D
b. Some of the biggest polling errors this century occurred in reliably red states and districts that underestimate Republican support (The Economist). Given where the competitive races are located this year, another underestimation would be enough to keep Republicans in control of the Senate and to have Democratic House margins in the single digits.
3. The polls and analysts underestimate Democrats by a normal polling error.
a. House: 238 D - 197 R;...
