We explore real-life reformation here in this informed, online community.
Not that long ago, news about ISIS was everywhere. But suddenly the controlled media took on a new narrative: "Finally, ISIS is no more, thanks to the American superpower."
Well, no. A new caliph (Abu al-Hussein al-Husseini al-Qurashi) replaced the previous one, and the Islamic State is still at war with the West, recruiting, educating, inspiring, and equipping a worldwide following. Their official magazine, Al-Naba, still proceeds weekly from the Central Media Office of the Islamic State.
For your files and study, the web site thereligionofpeace.com maintains an updated list of ISIS attacks, assassinations and terror killings (476 and counting,) along with other Islamic attacks since 2015. During this time period, there have been a total of 2911 Islamic attacks in 53 countries, in which 27722 people were killed and 26192 injured.
Front page of Al-Naba:
https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.297297/gov.uscourts.dcd.297297.1.0.pdf
Mishandling national defense information. Very serious.
There are three ways the outlook could play out.
1. The polls and analysts are largely accurate.
a. House: 233 D - 202 R; Senate: 52 D - 48 R
b. Recent polling errors have been greater in the presidential elections while midterms - on the whole - have been more accurate (Silver Bulletin). If largely accurate, Democrats would win a majority of similar size to the 2018 and 2006 midterms and gain a narrow Senate majority.
2. The polls and analysts underestimate Republicans by a normal polling error.
a. House: 221 D - 214 R; Senate: 51 R - 49 D
b. Some of the biggest polling errors this century occurred in reliably red states and districts that underestimate Republican support (The Economist). Given where the competitive races are located this year, another underestimation would be enough to keep Republicans in control of the Senate and to have Democratic House margins in the single digits.
3. The polls and analysts underestimate Democrats by a normal polling error.
a. House: 238 D - 197 R;...
Over the years, I have become convinced sunlight is one of the most essential nutrients for the body. Unfortunately, since no one has a financial interest in promoting sunlight (and it hence has no lobbyists), almost everything we hear instead focuses on why it’s terrible for us. For example, dermatology transformed itself from one of the least desirable specialties in medicine into one of the highest paying ones by rebranding its members as cancer fighters, which required scaring everyone senseless about the sun (while omitting that a lack of sunlight is what causes fatal skin cancers). Despite the billions now spent each year on skin cancer, the total death rate from it remains almost entirely unchanged (all of which is discussed here).
A similar story has played out with the light inside our homes. In 2022, the federal government effectively banned the incandescent bulb on the grounds most of its output is “wasted” as infrared, even though a rapidly growing body of research ...
